Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) (15+) in United States

United States: Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) (15+) was 4.4 in 2027. ▼ Falling

Latest (2027)
4.4
Change on year
down 0.9%
World rank
117th
of 188 countries
All-time high
9.63
in 2010
All-time low
3.64
in 2023
Years of data
37
1991–2027

Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) in United States, 1991–2027

02468101991200920271991: 6.81992: 7.51993: 6.91994: 6.11995: 5.71996: 5.51997: 51998: 4.51999: 4.22000: 42001: 4.72002: 5.82003: 62004: 5.52005: 5.12006: 4.62007: 4.62008: 5.82009: 9.32010: 9.62011: 8.92012: 8.12013: 7.42014: 6.22015: 5.32016: 4.92017: 4.42018: 3.92019: 3.72020: 8.12021: 5.32022: 3.62023: 3.62024: 42025: 4.22026: 4.42027: 4.4

Source: International Labour Organization.

Analysis

United States recorded 4.4 for unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates) in 2027.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.9% on the previous year and up 0.9% over ten years.

Over the whole period, unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates) in United States peaked at 9.63 in 2010 and was at its lowest, 3.64, in 2023.

That places United States 117th out of 188 countries with data for 2027, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 37 years of available data.

Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) (15+) in United States, year by year

Annual values for Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) (15+) in United States, 1991 to 2027.
Year Value Change
1991 6.8 —
1992 7.5 +10.3%
1993 6.9 -8.0%
1994 6.12 -11.3%
1995 5.65 -7.7%
1996 5.45 -3.5%
1997 5 -8.3%
1998 4.51 -9.8%
1999 4.22 -6.5%
2000 3.99 -5.4%
2001 4.73 +18.5%
2002 5.78 +22.2%
2003 5.99 +3.6%
2004 5.53 -7.7%
2005 5.08 -8.0%
2006 4.62 -9.1%
2007 4.62 -0.0%
2008 5.78 +25.1%
2009 9.25 +60.0%
2010 9.63 +4.1%
2011 8.95 -7.1%
2012 8.07 -9.8%
2013 7.38 -8.6%
2014 6.17 -16.4%
2015 5.28 -14.4%
2016 4.87 -7.8%
2017 4.36 -10.6%
2018 3.9 -10.5%
2019 3.67 -5.8%
2020 8.05 +119.5%
2021 5.35 -33.6%
2022 3.65 -31.8%
2023 3.64 -0.3%
2024 4.02 +10.6%
2025 4.2 +4.4%
2026 4.43 +5.6%
2027 4.4 -0.9%

United States compared with similar countries

  • United States's 4.4 is below the median for high income countries, which is 5.2, 85% of the median. (62 countries reporting)

Biggest year-on-year movements

Years where Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) (15+) in United States changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.

YearChange FromTo
2020 +119.5% 3.67 8.05
2009 +60.0% 5.78 9.25

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1990s 5.79 4.22 7.5 9
2000s 5.54 3.99 9.25 10
2010s 6.23 3.67 9.63 10
2020s 4.72 3.64 8.05 8

Countries ranked near United States

  1. 114 Democratic Republic of Congo 4.48 compare
  2. 115 Paraguay 4.42 compare
  3. 116 Croatia 4.42 compare
  4. 118 India 4.26 compare
  5. 119 Australia 4.12 compare
  6. 120 Netherlands 4.03 compare

See the full ranking of 276 places →

More work & labour data for United States

All data for United States →

Frequently asked questions

What is unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates) in United States?
Unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates) in United States was 4.4 in 2027, according to International Labour Organization.
What is the highest unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates) recorded in United States?
The highest recorded value was 9.63 in 2010.
What is the lowest unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates) recorded in United States?
The lowest recorded value was 3.64 in 2023.
How does United States rank for unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates)?
United States ranks 117th out of 188 countries with data for 2027.
Is unemployment rate (ilo modelled estimates) rising or falling in United States?
Over the last ten years it is up 0.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this United States data come from?
The figures come from International Labour Organization, published as part of Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) (15+). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) in United States. Statizoid, drawing on International Labour Organization. Retrieved 23 October 2026, from https://labour.statizoid.com/stat/unemployment-rate-ilo-modelled-estimates-15/united-states/

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About this data

Indicator
Unemployment rate (ILO modelled estimates) (15+)
Source
International Labour Organization
Licence
ILO Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
276 places, 10,188 data points, 1991–2027
Last refreshed

Imputed observations are not based on national data, are subject to high uncertainty and should not be used for country comparisons or rankings. This series is based on the 13th ICLS definitions. The unemployment rate conveys the number of persons who are unemployed as a percent of the labour force (i.e., the employed plus the unemployed). The unemployed comprise all persons of working age who were: a) without work during the reference period, i.e. were not in paid employment or self-employment; b) currently available for work, i.e. were available for paid employment or self-employment during the reference period; and c) seeking work, i.e. had taken specific steps in a specified recent period to seek paid employment or self-employment. For more information, refer to the ILO Modelled Estimates (ILOEST) database description.