Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates) in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income

Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income: Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates) was 5,290 in 2027. ▲ Rising

Latest (2027)
5,290
Change on year
up 1.6%
Rank
52nd
of 87 groups
All-time high
5,290
in 2027
All-time low
2,162
in 2004
Years of data
24
2004–2027

Potential labour force in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income, 2004–2027

02.0k4.0k6.0k2004201520272004: 2.2k2005: 2.2k2006: 2.2k2007: 2.2k2008: 2.2k2009: 2.7k2010: 3.3k2011: 3.5k2012: 3.6k2013: 3.6k2014: 3.6k2015: 3.5k2016: 3.6k2017: 3.6k2018: 3.9k2019: 4.1k2020: 5.1k2021: 5.0k2022: 4.9k2023: 4.4k2024: 4.7k2025: 5.1k2026: 5.2k2027: 5.3k

Source: International Labour Organization.

Analysis

In 2027, potential labour force in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income stood at 5,290. That is the highest value across all 24 years on record.

The figure is up 1.6% on the previous year and up 48.2% over ten years.

Over the whole period, potential labour force in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income peaked at 5,290 in 2027 and was at its lowest, 2,162, in 2004.

That places Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income 52nd out of 87 groups with data for 2027, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 24 years of available data.

Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates) in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income, year by year

Annual values for Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates) in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income, 2004 to 2027.
Year Value Change
2004 2,162 —
2005 2,170 +0.4%
2006 2,170 +0.0%
2007 2,181 +0.5%
2008 2,216 +1.6%
2009 2,726 +23.0%
2010 3,335 +22.3%
2011 3,507 +5.2%
2012 3,564 +1.6%
2013 3,596 +0.9%
2014 3,581 -0.4%
2015 3,465 -3.2%
2016 3,561 +2.8%
2017 3,568 +0.2%
2018 3,936 +10.3%
2019 4,059 +3.1%
2020 5,100 +25.6%
2021 4,984 -2.3%
2022 4,852 -2.6%
2023 4,446 -8.4%
2024 4,664 +4.9%
2025 5,120 +9.8%
2026 5,205 +1.7%
2027 5,290 +1.6%

Biggest year-on-year movements

Years where Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates) in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.

YearChange FromTo
2020 +25.6% 4,059 5,100

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 2,271 2,162 2,726 6
2010s 3,617 3,335 4,059 10
2020s 4,958 4,446 5,290 8

More work & labour data for Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income

All data for Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income →

Frequently asked questions

What is potential labour force in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income?
Potential labour force in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income was 5,290 in 2027, according to International Labour Organization.
What is the highest potential labour force recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income?
The highest recorded value was 5,290 in 2027.
What is the lowest potential labour force recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income?
The lowest recorded value was 2,162 in 2004.
How does Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income rank for potential labour force?
Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income ranks 52nd out of 87 groups with data for 2027.
Is potential labour force rising or falling in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income?
Over the last ten years it is up 48.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income data come from?
The figures come from International Labour Organization, published as part of Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Potential labour force in Sub-Saharan Africa: Upper-middle income. Statizoid, drawing on International Labour Organization. Retrieved 11 October 2026, from https://labour.statizoid.com/stat/potential-labour-force-ilo-modelled-estimates/sub-saharan-africa-upper-middle-income/

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About this data

Indicator
Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates)
Source
International Labour Organization
Licence
ILO Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
87 places, 2,088 data points, 2004–2027
Last refreshed

Imputed observations are not based on national data, are subject to high uncertainty and should not be used for country comparisons or rankings. This series is based on the 13th ICLS definitions. The potential labour force refers to persons not in employment who express an interest in this form of work but for whom existing conditions limit their active job search and/or their availability. This group is used to calculate alternative measures of labour underutilization. For more information, refer to the ILO Modelled Estimates (ILOEST) database description.