Potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income

Africa: Lower-middle income: Potential labour force was 23,619 in 2027. ▲ Rising

Latest (2027)
23,619
Change on year
up 2.8%
Rank
17th
of 87 groups
All-time high
23,619
in 2027
All-time low
13,133
in 2004
Years of data
24
2004–2027

Potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income, 2004–2027

05.0k10.0k15.0k20.0k25.0k2004201520272004: 13.1k2005: 13.4k2006: 13.4k2007: 13.4k2008: 13.6k2009: 13.9k2010: 14.2k2011: 14.8k2012: 15.0k2013: 15.2k2014: 15.9k2015: 17.1k2016: 17.9k2017: 18.1k2018: 19.0k2019: 19.9k2020: 22.3k2021: 21.2k2022: 22.0k2023: 21.0k2024: 21.8k2025: 22.4k2026: 23.0k2027: 23.6k

Source: International Labour Organization.

Analysis

The most recent figure for potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income is 23,619, measured in 2027. That is the highest value across all 24 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is up 2.8% on the previous year and up 30.2% over ten years.

Over the whole period, potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income peaked at 23,619 in 2027 and was at its lowest, 13,133, in 2004.

That places Africa: Lower-middle income 17th out of 87 groups with data for 2027, putting it in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 24 years of available data.

Potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income, year by year

Annual values for Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates) in Africa: Lower-middle income, 2004 to 2027.
Year Value Change
2004 13,133
2005 13,399 +2.0%
2006 13,392 -0.1%
2007 13,419 +0.2%
2008 13,615 +1.5%
2009 13,946 +2.4%
2010 14,218 +1.9%
2011 14,773 +3.9%
2012 15,029 +1.7%
2013 15,239 +1.4%
2014 15,926 +4.5%
2015 17,053 +7.1%
2016 17,941 +5.2%
2017 18,144 +1.1%
2018 19,046 +5.0%
2019 19,924 +4.6%
2020 22,275 +11.8%
2021 21,178 -4.9%
2022 22,021 +4.0%
2023 20,961 -4.8%
2024 21,763 +3.8%
2025 22,358 +2.7%
2026 22,979 +2.8%
2027 23,619 +2.8%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 13,484 13,133 13,946 6
2010s 16,729 14,218 19,924 10
2020s 22,144 20,961 23,619 8

More work & labour data for Africa: Lower-middle income

All data for Africa: Lower-middle income →

Frequently asked questions

What is potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income?
Potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income was 23,619 in 2027, according to International Labour Organization.
What is the highest potential labour force recorded in Africa: Lower-middle income?
The highest recorded value was 23,619 in 2027.
What is the lowest potential labour force recorded in Africa: Lower-middle income?
The lowest recorded value was 13,133 in 2004.
How does Africa: Lower-middle income rank for potential labour force?
Africa: Lower-middle income ranks 17th out of 87 groups with data for 2027.
Is potential labour force rising or falling in Africa: Lower-middle income?
Over the last ten years it is up 30.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Africa: Lower-middle income data come from?
The figures come from International Labour Organization, published as part of Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Potential labour force in Africa: Lower-middle income. Statizoid, drawing on International Labour Organization. Retrieved 24 August 2026, from https://labour.statizoid.com/stat/potential-labour-force-ilo-modelled-estimates/africa-lower-middle-income/

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About this data

Indicator
Potential labour force (ILO modelled estimates)
Source
International Labour Organization
Licence
ILO Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
87 places, 2,088 data points, 2004–2027
Last refreshed

Imputed observations are not based on national data, are subject to high uncertainty and should not be used for country comparisons or rankings. This series is based on the 13th ICLS definitions. The potential labour force refers to persons not in employment who express an interest in this form of work but for whom existing conditions limit their active job search and/or their availability. This group is used to calculate alternative measures of labour underutilization. For more information, refer to the ILO Modelled Estimates (ILOEST) database description.